Swatch (Switzerland) Performance

UHR Stock   197.35  0.30  0.15%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Swatch holds a performance score of 10. The entity has a beta of 0.11, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Swatch's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Swatch is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Swatch's total risk alpha, expected short fall, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to make a quick decision on whether Swatch's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in The Swatch Group are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly abnormal basic indicators, Swatch showed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0228
Payout Ratio
3.8136
Last Split Factor
10:1
Forward Dividend Rate
4.5
Dividend Date
2025-05-27
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2
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3
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Begin Period Cash Flow1.1 B
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-346 M
  

Swatch Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  16,680  in The Swatch Group on November 20, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  3,055  from holding The Swatch Group or generate 18.32% return on investment over 90 days. The Swatch Group is generating 0.3165% of daily returns assuming 2.3556% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 21% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Swatch, and 94% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Swatch is expected to generate 3.14 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 3.14 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.13 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.19 per unit of risk.

Swatch Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Swatch Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 197.35 90 days 197.35 
about 1.19
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Swatch to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.19 (This The Swatch Group probability density function shows the probability of Swatch Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Swatch has a beta of 0.11. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Swatch average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Swatch Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Swatch Group has an alpha of 0.2694, implying that it can generate a 0.27 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Swatch Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Swatch

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Swatch Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
196.88199.24201.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
177.62208.28210.64
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.661.221.87
Details

Swatch Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Swatch is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Swatch's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Swatch Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Swatch within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
10.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Swatch Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Swatch for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Swatch Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Swatch Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Swatch Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Swatch's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Swatch's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding51.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 B

Swatch Fundamentals Growth

Swatch Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Swatch, and Swatch fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Swatch Stock performance.

About Swatch Performance

Evaluating Swatch's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Swatch has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Swatch has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand2.4 K2.5 K
Return On Capital Employed 0.01  0.01 

Things to note about Swatch Group performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Swatch for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Swatch Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Swatch's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Swatch's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Swatch's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Swatch's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Swatch's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Swatch's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Swatch's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Swatch's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Swatch's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Swatch's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Swatch's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Additional Tools for Swatch Stock Analysis

When running Swatch's price analysis, check to measure Swatch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Swatch is operating at the current time. Most of Swatch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Swatch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Swatch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Swatch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.